Ecuador due to the absence of government during the administration Country Email List de Moreno, the collusion of the media conglomerates to favor the right-wing candidate, the tricks of the campaign managers during the electoral season, etc., surely have a lot of explanatory Country Email List merit. However, the same readings would have been valid if Arauz had won, and the only reason he did not win was due to the immediate and mechanical influence of the massive invalid vote on the electoral Country Email List results. Therefore, the interpretation through the conceptual model proposed in this article is, perhaps.
The most relevant explanation of the victory of one and the defeat of Country Email List the other. It is worth noting the paradox that, despite the presidential victory of the right, the incoming National Assembly is made up of large minorities of the left and center-left. Of a total of Country Email List 137 seats, the first three minorities are the Alianza Unión por la Esperanza, the movement that sponsored Arauz's candidacy, with 47 of its own legislators; the Pachakutik block, with 22, and the with 47 own legislators; the Pachakutik block, Country Email List with 22, and the with 47 own legislators; the Pachakutik block, with 22, and theid , with 18.
The traditional right, represented by the Social Christian Party, barely reached Country Email List 14 seats of its own, and Creating Opportunities ( I think) , President Lasso's movement, got just Country Email List nine (to which in almost all cases are added some with alliances). On the eve of the second round of April 11, Arauz had a greater probability of winning than Lasso. A Lasso victory was possible but less Country Email List likely. The usefulness of a conceptual model is precisely that it clearly specifies the conditions that had to be met for Lasso to be elected president. Lasso had fewer paths to becoming president than Arauz, but a high level of null votes was definitely one of them. Lasso had a better than expected electoral performance.